World Cup Prediction Market: Dashboard Guide

Important: The dashboard updates every 20 minutes. If you place a trade and it results in a profit or loss, it may take up to 20 minutes for that to be reflected in your P&L and Bonus P&L. Your Remaining Balance is the exception — it updates in real time, so you will see funds deducted from your account immediately when you place a trade.

Before diving into the dashboard, here's the core mechanic behind everything you'll be trading.

Each market is a contract on whether something will happen. If it happens, the contract you bought settles at $1. If it doesn't, it settles at $0. There's no partial outcome — it's always one or the other.

The price you pay reflects the market's estimate of how likely that outcome is. If France Yes is trading at 77 cents, the market thinks France winning is roughly a 77% likely outcome. Buy at 77 cents, and if France wins within 90 minutes, your contract settles at $1 — a profit of 23 cents per contract. If France doesn't win, your contract settles at $0 and you lose the 77 cents you paid.

This is different from leveraged trading or futures, where losses can exceed your initial position. With prediction market contracts, the most you can ever lose on a trade is the amount you spent buying it. If you spend $5 on a contract and the outcome goes against you, you lose that $5 — nothing more.

Yes and No aren't two separate, independent bets — they're opposite sides of the same coin. If France Yes is trading at 77 cents, France No will be trading at roughly 23 cents (give or take the spread). Buying No on France is effectively a bet that France does not win in 90 minutes, which includes both a draw and a loss for France.

This matters in football specifically because a 3-way outcome (win, draw, loss) means betting No on one team is not the same as betting Yes on the other team. France No covers two different outcomes — Sweden winning or the match ending in a draw — while Sweden Yes only covers one of those two outcomes. Always check exactly what a contract is tracking before you trade it.

Contract prices aren't fixed — they move continuously based on what other traders think, starting well before kickoff and continuing throughout the match. A goal, a red card, or shifting public sentiment can move the price significantly in real time. This is also why you can sell a position early: if the price moves in your favor before the match ends, you can lock in your profit immediately rather than waiting for the final result.

Every trade carries a small fee, charged per contract (for example, 2 cents per contract). The fee is included in your estimated cost before you confirm a trade, so there are no surprises — what you see in the order panel is what you pay.

The dashboard is divided into three tabs: Profile, Predictions, and Trading Activity. Each tab has a specific purpose — Profile tracks your overall standing, Predictions is where you browse and trade markets, and Trading Activity is where you manage open positions and review your history.

Profile is your competition home base. It shows your overall performance, leaderboard position, and competition tools.

The Profile tab — Rank, Remaining Balance, P&L, Bonus P&L, Power Plays, Multiplier, and Reset.

An option that allows you to double the points you earn when a trade wins. You have 5 Power Plays for the entire competition. Clicking Use Power Play activates it and applies it to your next trade. Power Plays are available from the Quarterfinals onward, and once used they cannot be recovered.

A base multiplier that automatically applies to your Bonus P&L from the Quarterfinals onward — no activation needed. It increases at each stage:

Multipliers stack with Power Plays. If you activate a Power Play on a trade during the Final, you get both the automatic 2x stage multiplier and the Power Play doubling on that trade.

Resets your account for free. One time use only, valid until July 4th. This resets everything, not just your P&L — trade history, the P&L calendar, your balance, everything is erased. You start over with a fresh account.

These are the same performance metrics you're already familiar with from your regular Tradeify journal. No special tournament behavior — they reflect your trading performance across the competition the same way they do in your standard account.

A breakdown of your P&L by calendar day, so you can see which days produced your best and worst results.

Rankings are based on P&L plus Bonus P&L — your trading profit combined with bonus points from Power Plays and multipliers. The top 500 traders on the leaderboard earn a prize.

There is a global ranking, which is the one used to determine prize payouts, and a separate breakdown per country. There are also special prizes and surprises for the traders leading specific country rankings.

The Predictions tab is where you browse all available markets and place trades. Markets are organized into three categories: Games, Props, and Brackets. Most traders will spend their time in Games. You can sort the list by time, most traded, and other filters.

The Games list — moneyline percentages for each match, with the order panel on the right.

Each game shows the current moneyline for both teams. Tapping a match — for example, France vs Sweden — opens the full market detail with all available contracts for that game.

Match detail view — price history chart, with Team to Advance and Moneyline markets below.

Within a single match you can trade several different markets:

Team to Advance — a prediction on which team advances past this specific match to the next round of the tournament. This is not the same as predicting the tournament winner — it only covers this one match's outcome, independent of the 90-minute moneyline result. A team can lose in 90 minutes and still advance via extra time or penalties, so Team to Advance and the Moneyline can settle differently for the same match.

Moneyline — based strictly on the 90-minute match plus stoppage time. If you trade on Team A to win and they only win in extra time, your contract is worthless — the moneyline settles on the 90-minute result only, regardless of how the match actually ends.

For each moneyline you'll see Yes and No priced separately. For example, France Yes (wins within 90 minutes) might trade at 77 cents and pays $1 if it settles correctly. France No (does not win within 90 minutes) covers two outcomes — draw or loss — and would trade at a different price, for example 24 cents. It's worth exploring the different markets within a game to find the trade that offers the best reward relative to its risk.

Clicking into any market opens the order book, where you can see the live bid and ask prices contracts are trading at.

The order book — live asks (red) and bids (green) for the Team to Advance market.

Once you've selected a market and a side, you can place your trade in one of two ways:

Left: a Dollars order. Right: a Limit order with contract quantity and price.

Dollars — enter the exact dollar amount you want to spend. Your order fills at the current market price, buying as many contracts as that dollar amount covers.

Limit — choose how many contracts you want and set a specific limit price. This can get you a better price than the market rate, but it isn't guaranteed to fill unless another trader is willing to trade at your price.

The order panel shows your fee, estimated cost, and payout if your prediction settles correctly before you confirm.
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A larger Dollars order against the live order book — fee, estimated cost, and payout update as you type.

Trading Activity is where you track and manage everything you have open or closed. It's divided into four sections: